Official: Summer 2025 without La Niña. What impact will this have on weather patterns?

Arab Weather - The US National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) issued its latest report on the status of the Southern Oscillation (ENSO) phenomenon, confirming the continuation of the ENSO-neutral climate during the Northern Hemisphere summer of 2025 with a high probability of reaching 82% during the months of June through August.

This report indicates that the summer of 2025 will be free of the effects of the La Niña phenomenon, which characterized last summer and contributed to widespread climate disruptions, such as heat waves, droughts, and heavy rains in many regions around the world.

Official: Summer 2025 without La Niña. What impact will this have on weather patterns?

In detail, NOAA data indicated that sea surface temperatures in the tropical Pacific Ocean remained close to normal over the past months, with some areas above average in the western Pacific, and temperatures near average in the central regions, while temperatures remained stable at average levels in the eastern regions. These patterns indicate a state of relative stability in the ocean-atmosphere system, which supports the continuation of a neutral state.

NOAA forecasts indicate that the climate neutrality will continue through the end of autumn and the beginning of winter in the Northern Hemisphere in 2025-2026, with a limited probability of La Niña returning at 41% during the November-January period, while the probability of climate neutrality remaining at 48%.

This climate situation means that temperatures and rainfall patterns will be relatively stable across large areas of the world, while reducing the chances of severe weather events associated with La Niña, such as severe heat waves or floods.

It's worth noting that this year's neutrality is quite different from last summer, when most regions of the Northern Hemisphere experienced strong La Niña influences, which significantly impacted weather patterns, both in terms of rainfall and temperatures.

And God knows best.